China, the world's second-largest economy, has posted a growth rate of 4.6 percent in the third quarter of 2023, marking the slowest pace of growth in over a year. This slowdown is attributed to weak consumer demand and ongoing challenges in the property sector. According to figures released by China's National Bureau of Statistics, the growth in the July-September period reflects a slight dip from the 4.7 percent expansion observed in the previous quarter. This recent figure represents the lowest performance since early in the year when China was beginning to recover from its stringent 'zero-COVID' pandemic restrictions.
The National Bureau of Statistics has expressed that while the national economy has shown general stability and steady progress in the first three quarters of 2023, the external environment remains increasingly complex and severe. Additionally, they caution that the foundation for robust economic recovery and growth remains fragile and requires reinforcement. In response to these challenges, Beijing has implemented a series of measures aimed at revitalizing the economy. These measures include lowering mortgage rates and providing banks with more flexibility in extending loans. Despite these efforts, the initiatives have not significantly bolstered investor confidence or swayed market analysts, who emphasize the necessity for substantial stimulus to rekindle growth.
China's leadership has set an ambitious growth target of approximately 5 percent for 2024. However, market analysts widely question the achievability of this target without significant stimulus interventions. With an average growth rate of 4.8 percent across the first three quarters, China would need to experience an extraordinary surge of over 5 percent growth in the final quarter to meet its annual goal. The economy's current trajectory underlines the urgency for Beijing to consider implementing more substantial economic measures to inspire confidence and drive growth forward.