Erich Richter of The Post provides his picks for Sunday’s and Monday’s NFL Week 1 matchups. Sunday Panthers (+4) over SAINTS: Historically, divisional underdogs of fewer than 6.5 points in Weeks 1-3 are 94-94-2 outright since 2003, providing bettors a 22% return on investment. This is a prime opportunity for Carolina believers. Derek Carr doesn't present a significant upgrade over Bryce Young, who has much to prove.

The Panthers may not yet realize their struggles, offering value here. Titans (+3.5) over BEARS: Rookie quarterbacks, on debuting in the NFL, have a poor 16-35-1 record, including 0-7-1 in recent seasons. Caleb Williams' introduction is unlikely to be exceptional. Remember, the last rookie QB to win an opener was Sam Darnold in 2018. Chicago has a chance, but laying more than a field goal is unwise.

DOLPHINS (-3.5) over Jaguars: Miami, currently healthy, boasts superior playmakers across the board. Jacksonville's modest defensive restorations and offensive line issues won't suffice against Miami’s talent, especially with star pass-rusher Jaelan Phillips back. BENGALS (-8.5) over Patriots: While it's not usually advisable to bet big on favorites, the Bengals are exceptionally talented, unlike the struggling New England squad. Adding Ja’Marr Chase to the mix only tilts this further in Cincinnati's favor, making this large spread manageable.

GIANTS (+1.5) over Vikings: Pivotal for Big Blue, Brian Daboll’s team has a defensive edge that can tip scales against the Vikings. With Daniel Jones having an advantageous matchup, bet on the Giants in this scenario. FALCONS (-3) over Steelers: Both teams are quite different from last year, but the Falcons’ overhaul seems far more impactful, positioning them as a potential 12-win team. In Atlanta, expect the Falcons to showcase their home advantage robustly.

Texans (-3) over COLTS: Despite the betting money favoring the Colts, Houston comes fortified, notably adding Stefon Diggs to their offensive arsenal. This, paired with Indianapolis' below-average defense, positions C.J. Stroud to excel. Cardinals (+6.5) over BILLS: Doubts linger over Buffalo's offseason. Despite Josh Allen's talents, turnovers, loss of Diggs, and defensive weaknesses, such as starting Damar Hamlin, make Arizona a more scrappy, potentially underestimated team.

Broncos (+6) over SEAHAWKS: Sean Payton’s strategy will be tested immediately. Bo Nix's under-promise may turn favorable as the team relies on run and defense tactics. A stingier defense promises many covers for the Broncos. CHARGERS (-3) over Raiders: In a probable neutral field situation, the coaching mismatch and talent disparity favor the Chargers markedly. Harbaugh's strategies should outweigh the Raiders' Antonio Pierce easily.

Cowboys (+2.5) over BROWNS: It’s unwise to back Deshaun Watson as a favorite against a full-strength Cowboys team. Dak Prescott is hungry for a contract, leading an outstanding offense. Expect a competitive, entertaining match where Dallas should edge out. BUCCANEERS (-3.5) over Commanders: Veteran Baker Mayfield faces rookie Jayden Daniels, thrust into a lackluster position. With poor pass protection and mediocre receiver options, Daniel's challenges tilt the scales in Tampa’s favor.

Rams (+4.5) over Lions: The Rams' potent offense featuring Stafford, Kupp, and Nacua remains formidable. Coupled with top-tier coaching from Sean McVay, they present a tough challenge, despite the Lions' postseason hype. Monday Jets (+4.5) over 49ERS: With Aaron Rodgers gearing up with rave reviews and an improved offensive line, the Jets are positioned as strong contenders. Rodgers' favorable history at San Francisco suggests a thrilling contest, bringing optimism for New York.